34 assumptions about what our life will be in the future

After talking with the experts on technology and innovation at the University of singularity in California, Pete Flint (Pete Flint) brought together different predictions about the future: how we think about the possibilities that are open to us, and of the challenges that will be faced society.

The optimistic view of things suggests that the development of technology will solve some big problems in various fields - from medicine to transportation and energy. This will achieve a new level of life.

Already, the rate of change is very high: in the business and technology literally every week there is something new. In the future, the rate of progress will only increase. This entails a change in ethics, culture and society. There will be new challenges that humanity will have to decide.

Features of the development of innovation

1. In fact, it is very difficult to predict the future, because it is too illogical and principles of the exponential growth does not exist in many areas of life. With regard to technology, many of them just did develop exponentially. As a result, we often overestimate the consequences of scientific discoveries in the short term and underestimate the long-term.

2. It is often difficult to predict the future of companies introducing innovations, appealing to a limited number of people. The public does not notice any such innovations or ridicules them. However, these companies are growing rapidly and are responsible for their decisive advantages, while others in the organization or are not able to use a new product, or do not want to do this or do that, but too late.

3. Innovation resemble the torch, where one group of people creates something and passes the other. First visionaries transmit their ideas innovators, those, in turn, transfer the products to entrepreneurs and they - big businessmen, founders of empires, to put the product on a financial basis and implement masses. Successful investing in technology depends on whether you will be able to choose the right time and from the understanding of the development of innovations.

Artificial Intelligence

4. We need to enthusiastically accept the possibility of superintelligence that will help solve many important problems. Especially considering the fact that the technological breakthroughs occur as in a deep dive into a single science, and at the crossroads of different disciplines.

5. Consumer technology is constantly improving. More and more importance will be the usability, data analysis, analytics. The companies that are doing it now has excellent prospects for the future.

6. Some technology companies, whose activity is based on its own data, public data or intellectual property assets, on the contrary, will weaken. Because other companies and communities provide data free of charge or for very little money, to attract users to their services.

7. Love with a robot or artificial intelligence will make happy a lot of people.

Robots, drones, self-managed machines

8. drones It has almost become a commodity of mass consumption. In the future, increasing the capacity and number of sensors, reduced prices, more advanced interfaces, and cost savings will contribute to the further spread of robots.

9. Robots will become much more interesting when they start to do something that is inaccessible to a person, rather than just replace a person, as is happening now.

10. The transition to self-managed electric cars a major impact on the daily life in general. And it happens much earlier than expected, and before people have time to prepare. The fact that during the trip, you can do whatever you want and do not watch the road, change our homes, Cities and regions. In big cities, it will affect the quality of life and will probably entail a surge of urbanization.

11. The introduction of electric vehicles will start slowly, and then quickly picks up the pace. Since the filling will become less popular over time become less and less profitable to have a normal car.

12. Changes in robotics and innovation in manufacturing and agriculture will destroy traditional production chains which now exist. This will create many opportunities for the business.

Medicine

13. In the near future 3D-press will create cartilage and bones, taking into account features of a particular person. In the long term molecular and nanoimprint will create devices and robots that will change medicine radically. For example, using a print you can create organs for transplantation.

14. The cost of genomic testing is rapidly declining, and in the next decade, this procedure will cost you a penny. It seriously affect health and at the same time the emergence of consumer goods to health and crazy ideas like intelligent toilets and showers, based on sensitive sensors.

15. The possibility of low-cost genetic research in conjunction with the analysis of data to shift the focus in medicine from treatment to diagnosis and prevention of diseases. It is possible to find a cure for the most feared killers of our time - cancer and neurological disorders.

16. To account for the huge amount of information obtained from sensitive inexpensive sensors require medical analytics and artificial intelligence. Fragmentation and accounting information will be the main problems of medicine.

17. People born in the developing world today, have all chances to live 2.5 years longer than those born 10 years ago. As technology develops exponentially, with each decade of life expectancy of people will increase. So that in the future those who will be born in a few decades, will have every chance to live a very long time (unless, of course, they can afford it). In this regard, there a number of problems - financial, cultural and social.

Finance and Economics

18. Blockchain - technology is a reliable distributed data storage - in the near future will change the work of financial institutions. They become almost invisible to us.

A virtual reality

19. A virtual reality It will develop until it becomes almost indistinguishable from the real world. Moreover, the quality of experience and the functionality it will exceed the reality. It will go really far and will have a huge impact on our society.

Energy

20. The cost of solar power will fall, so it will use more often.

21. Over the past few decades, changes in the energy sector does not inhibit technology, and politics and social factors.

22. Innovations in energy storage and transportation mean even more than new energy production technologies.

23. The transfer of information in digital format will create potential threats, so that investments in security will be very impressive.

Education

24. Most likely, the skills needed for work, will change. To stay afloat, the expert will need to undergo refresher training. It requires a new approach to education and career.

25. Our children and grandchildren will live in a different world. To be successful, we need to provide them with continuous training and getting in technology knowledge, engineering, and develop critical thinking, creativity and sensitivity.

organization of the future

26. With the development of technology will increase the performance requirements for organizations and leaders. This will shorten the existence of most companies. The most successful organizations of the future - the ones that continue to staff training and introduction of new technologies throughout its existence.

27. Companies have the ability to rapidly deploy technological innovations and change, will always keep up with the progress.

Society

28. In order to prevent a sharp decline in jobs, the government will provide every basic human income, regardless of whether it works or not, and to help him get through the changes in society and at work places.

29. It is expected that the number of jobs in the US will be reduced by half over the next 20 years due to computerization and replace people with robots. In less developed countries, this figure will be lower.

30. The job cuts due to the introduction of robots and artificial intelligence is predictable and inevitable in the same way as it was in the past, the automation of enterprises. But it is difficult to predict how it will react to the government and society.

31. The rapid development of technology should help people in all walks of life. But if the government and society will not happen major changes, the technology will be available only to a small number of wealthy people, which further divide society into classes.

32. Some developing countries will be able to overtake the others in the construction of certain types of infrastructure and gain economic advantage, just as startup wins existing companies, applying new, more effective model of work.

33. Future reflects a lot of stories that are interwoven in the traditional religions: life after death, out of body experience, the eradication of diseases, treatment of paralysis, superintelligence, and so on. Is this a coincidence? Or our human nature throughout history drives us to solve these problems? And how religion would react to the fact that miracles are commonplace?

34. Perhaps society will become more human, or, perhaps more will appreciate the humanity in digitized life. As technologies become more and more invisible, people moving up the pyramid of needs Maslow and begins to appreciate the things around them, so they could not all the generations before him.