How to make important decisions: 3 Board of champion poker
A Life / / December 19, 2019
It turns out that the notorious intuition strongly overestimated, and good luck, we, on the contrary, unduly deducted from the account.
In poker, you need to constantly make decisions, and how they will be true, the chances of winning depend. The experience of a professional player and champion Liv Boeree shows that in real life all the same way. In his lectures at TED girl shares the secrets that will help to make informed decisions and achieve success.
1. Consider the luck factor and do not overestimate your abilities
As in poker, in life not everything depends on us. The likelihood of success in a particular case is also influenced by luck. Fancies himself a genius, scrapping your ordinary luck - the big and dangerous mistake. The proof of this Liv gives the following example.
In 2010, she won the European Poker Tour, while the seriously played only one year. The girl was so confident in his talentThat abandoned the study of poker and began to compete with the best players in the world, risking more and more. Losing time and time again throughout the next year, Liv finally realized that greatly overestimate their abilities.
People tend to underestimate the luck factor, when things are going well. Therefore, in such moments, it is important to ask yourself whether it is your personal achievement indeed, and not merely luck.
2. Use the numeracy
Abstract definitions in planning the same evil, as in poker. The game is based on probabilities and accuracy, so we can not say, "They're probably bluffing." Because of this, you can lose a lot of money. Instead of the vague wording is necessary to accustom oneself to think the numbers.
The probability of any event can be expressed as a percentage, but in the understanding of each person it is different. Liv asked his followers on Twitter, what they mean by the word "possible", and the probability of the spread was 10 to 90%.
So the next time you want to say "probably" or "sometimes" - using numbers instead of words. Unlike the abstract phrases, they are perceived interlocutor quite clearly.
3. Do not rely on intuition
The social networking is full of motivational pictures with captions like, "Listen to your heart" or "trust your sixth sense and do not doubt." With very few exceptions, it does not work in poker or in life. Our intuition is not as perfect as might be desired.
In the photo above the best players on the poker world. And it is clear that these guys have achieved such heights, using far feeling and intuition, and a thorough analysis and rationality.
Intuition can not be ignored, but it is also not necessary to overestimate it. She works in the everyday things that you were doing a lot of times, but not suitable for anything really serious. You can listen to intuitionWhen you are trying to park in a tight spot, but in the choice of career or partner better to rely on slow and accurate analysis.
If you are interested in this topic, with the full version of the speech is available on the TED.
see also🧐
- 3 science-based way to attract good luck
- Fear to miss the best option prevents us from making decisions
- How to become successful, the risk: 3 Simple Steps